Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.000569 0.000651 0.000739 0.000838 0.000948 0.001065 0.001200
2025-07-27 0.000436 0.000548 0.000676 0.000831 0.001014 0.001220 0.001470
2025-08-03 0.000362 0.000485 0.000632 0.000819 0.001047 0.001315 0.001650
2025-08-10 0.000315 0.000447 0.000611 0.000828 0.001102 0.001432 0.001857
2025-08-17 0.000274 0.000411 0.000587 0.000827 0.001139 0.001526 0.002034
2025-08-24 0.000233 0.000367 0.000548 0.000802 0.001142 0.001573 0.002152
2025-08-31 0.000199 0.000331 0.000514 0.000779 0.001144 0.001617 0.002265
2025-09-07 0.000177 0.000308 0.000496 0.000776 0.001170 0.001691 0.002417
2025-09-14 0.000158 0.000288 0.000481 0.000775 0.001198 0.001766 0.002570
2025-09-21 0.000140 0.000267 0.000461 0.000765 0.001211 0.001822 0.002698
2025-09-28 0.000122 0.000245 0.000439 0.000750 0.001215 0.001863 0.002807
2025-10-05 0.000115 0.000239 0.000440 0.000769 0.001269 0.001975 0.003015
2025-10-12 0.000106 0.000230 0.000436 0.000780 0.001314 0.002076 0.003211
2025-10-19 0.000095 0.000215 0.000421 0.000774 0.001330 0.002137 0.003353
2025-10-26 0.000084 0.000199 0.000404 0.000762 0.001338 0.002185 0.003476
2025-11-02 0.000077 0.000191 0.000399 0.000771 0.001376 0.002278 0.003667
2025-11-09 0.000070 0.000181 0.000390 0.000770 0.001399 0.002348 0.003826
2025-11-16 0.000060 0.000165 0.000368 0.000746 0.001385 0.002362 0.003901
2025-11-23 0.000052 0.000151 0.000348 0.000725 0.001373 0.002379 0.003980
2025-11-30 0.000047 0.000142 0.000339 0.000722 0.001391 0.002440 0.004127
2025-12-07 0.000043 0.000135 0.000331 0.000721 0.001411 0.002506 0.004281
2025-12-14 0.000038 0.000126 0.000319 0.000711 0.001416 0.002548 0.004400
2025-12-21 0.000033 0.000117 0.000305 0.000697 0.001412 0.002575 0.004494